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2007 Email Alerts
- December 31, 2007. . .Last Opp'y
- Dear Fellow Investor,
Market turmoil is certain to continue in 2008.
Why take chances with your portfolio when you can protect it with the E-zone System?
Act now before our special offer closes - - - sign up today for your quarterly membership and get 6 months of the information you need to take care of your holdings.
By acting today, your membership cost might even be a deductible expense - - - check with your tax advisor to see if Uncle Sam helps you buy this.
Best wishes for a successful New Year.
The HottingerAdmin Team
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- November 12, 2007. . .The R Word?
- Dear Fellow Investor,
These notes of caution began in mid-April when the Dow was first approaching 13,000.
More warnings were sent the following months, urging you to use the E-Zone System to track your portfolio, and to begin moving to cash.
In July and August our words became more urgent, suggesting some defensive measures such as adding contra stocks like SDS to offset a serious drop in the balance of your portfolio.
Why did we issue these warnings?
Because the rise in the Dow was being followed by a rise in the VIX (Volatility Index) - - - and when the VIX reaches the top quadrant of its 52 week range, that usually foretells a serious market correction.
Right now this index is reaching levels it has not seen since late 2002, early 2003.
The fall the market took last week is not the end.
It will take many months for events to run their course.
We have only experienced a slight loss in the Dow thusfar.
A 15% correction would take us down to 11,000 - - - and a drop of that magnitude is historically achievable and well within the realm of reason.
Why have we been singing this song all these months?
Well, there were too many factors that could not be ignored.
In September we posted these uncertainties, and not one of them looks any better today:
- A domestic political struggle, with the end not in sight until Nov, 2008.
- An unpopular war in Iraq, with outcome still unknown.
- Decades of unsettled Israeli / Arab tensions.
- Expansion of al Qaida networks inside the EU.
- Disappointing economic numbers being posted almost weekly.
- The Fed handcuffed. Massive foreign holdings limit its ability to lower interest rates.
Now consider these more recent news items to understand the market's dilemma:
- China decides to reduce risk and hold fewer U.S. dollars
- Uncertainties abound in Iran, Pakistan, Venezuala
- Massive, unresolved $100 billion mortgage-backed securities risk;
- Dismal housing market and rising jobless claims;
- Oil approaching $100 / bbl;
- Gold nearing $800 /oz.;
- One Euro now costs $1.46
This new low for the dollar explains the price of oil and gold (also the Chinese disinclination to hold our currency).
Commodities valued in dollars will continue to be expensive, but most stocks are not priced like commodities.
Companies like Ford and GM will pay higher prices for steel, tires, and accessory parts made overseas, so they are caught with increasing costs while consumers are losing purchasing power.
This, most decidedly, is a recipe for a recession.
If you have not already taken some defensive measures, it is still not too late.
We urge you to act right now. You need to know where and how to begin lightening up.
You can get a great start by using our E-Zone System to read the Exit Zones of your stocks and funds.
Our Guest Membership will allow you to track 5 stocks or funds for 30 days.
But with matters as serious as they are now, we urge you to protect your entire portfolio.
Choose a Gold membership tonight.
You can order right here: http://www.hottingersignals.com/order.jsp (Quarterly and Annual categories offer the best savings, and of course, you have the protection of our satisfaction guarantee: a full refund in the first 30 days if you are not completely satisfied.)
Those of you who prudently moved to cash can now use the E-Zone System to find profitable re-entry points for those stocks you want to rebuild.
Caution is still advised; and unless you are trading, we suggest using the Entry Zones on the weekly charts.
We wish you much success in the turbulent days to come.
Hottinger Admin Team
PS// Ask your broker to provide the E-Zone charts for you on his website.
This program is available for him, and the arrangement could save you both time and money.
Just make your request and send him this address: http://www.hottingersignals.com/cobrand.jsp
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- October 26, 2007. . .Denial?
- Dear Fellow Investor,
THE NUMBERS ARE FRIGHTENING - - - WHERE IS REALITY?
Today oil hits a new high above $93 a barrel, and specialists expect to see it over $100 before yearend.
The Euro makes a new high against our dollar ($1.43++).
Yet with this news the stock market climbs some 100 points.
Go figure!
Let's try to put things in perspective.
First, with the Dow now above 13,000 a swing of 1 or 2 per cent can mean 130 to 260 points in a day - - - and daily variations of 1 or 2 per cent are common.
It is the 10, 15, 20 per cent hits that will hurt, and those are well within the realm of possibility, especially as our warning indicators begin to blink faster.
The proprietary indicators we follow have moved from a stage 1 cautionary into the stage 2 danger zone.
Only stage 3, severe risk alert, is left on the scale.
While these indicators give a measure of overall market risk, intelligent investors realize that it is a market of stocks, not a stock market.
And unless they hold only index ETF's, any stock in their portfolio is at risk and could drop on a day the market climbs.
There are always losers on a day the market rises: Trident Microsystems (TRID) was such a stock today.
In spite of its earnings being positive, it still dropped 41%.
The TRID Yahoo message board tonight is filled with notes of surprise, anger, pain.
But those investors, for all their ventilation, will be a long time recovering their capital.
This is why we have been urging you to use the E-Zone System to track your portfolio, and to begin moving to cash.
(With the E-Zone System those TRID investors could have moved to cash when the stock was above $16.)
With matters as serious as they are now, we urge you to protect your entire portfolio.
There is still time to take defensive measures.
You need to know the Exit Zone for each of your holdings.
Choose a Gold membership tonight.
You can order right here: http://www.hottingersignals.com/order.jsp (Quarterly and Annual categories offer the best savings, and of course, you have the protection of our satisfaction guarantee: a full refund in the first 30 days if you are not completely satisfied.)
Those of you who have begun to move to cash can use the E-Zone System to find profitable re-entry points for those stocks you want to rebuild.
However, caution is still advised; and unless you are trading, we suggest using the weekly Entry Zone charts.
We wish you much success in the turbulent days to come.
Hottinger Admin Team
PS// Ask your broker to provide the E-Zone charts for you on his website.
This program is available for him, and the arrangement could save you both time and money.
Just make your request and send him this address: http://www.hottingersignals.com/cobrand.jsp
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- October 19, 2007. . .More to come?
- Dear Fellow Investor,
Repeatedly we have warned that history does repeat itself, though we never expected to see another October 19, 1987 market drop come 20 years to the day.
Our notes of caution began in mid-April when the Dow was approaching 13,000.
More warnings were sent each of the following months, urging you to use the E-Zone System to track your portfolio, and to begin moving to cash.
On July 17 and July 24 these notes were more urgent, suggesting some defensive measures such as adding contra stocks like SDS to offset a serious drop in the balance of your portfolio.
Why did we issue these warnings?
Because the rise in the Dow was being followed by a rise in the VIX (Volatility Index) - - - and when the VIX reaches the top quadrant of its 52 week range, that usually foretells a serious market correction.
We do not believe the correction is over.
It will take many months for this to run its course.
We have only experienced a slight drop in the Dow thusfar.
A 15% drop would take us to an 11,494 reading - - - and a drop of that magnitude is historically achievable and within the realm of reason.
Why do we say this? There are just too many factors that cannot be ignored.
In fact, in September we posted these uncertainties, and not one of them looks any better today:
- A domestic political struggle, with the end not in sight until Nov, 2008.
- An unpopular war in Iraq, with outcome still unknown.
- Decades of unsettled Israeli / Arab tensions.
- Expansion of al Qaida networks inside the EU.
- Disappointing economic numbers being posted almost weekly.
- The Fed handcuffed. Massive foreign holdings limit its ability to lower interest rates.
Now consider these more recent news items to understand the market's dilemma:
- Massive, unresolved $100 billion mortgage-backed securities risk;
- Dismal housing market and rising jobless claims;
- Oil approaching $100 / bbl;
- Gold nearing $800 /oz.;
- One Euro now costs $1.43
This new low for the dollar explains the price of oil and gold. Commodities valued in dollars will continue to be expensive, but not all your stocks are priced like commodities.
Companies like Ford and GM will pay higher prices for steel, tires, and accessory parts made overseas, so they are caught with increasing costs and declining consumer purchasing power.
That phrase is a recipe for a recession.
If you have not already taken some defensive measures, it is still not too late.
We urge you to act right now.
You need to know where and how to begin lightening up.
You can get a great start by using our E-Zone System to read the Exit Zones of your stocks and funds.
Our Guest Membership will allow you to track 5 stocks or funds for 30 days.
But with matters as serious as they are now, we urge you to protect your entire portfolio.
Choose a Gold membership tonight.
You can order right here: http://www.hottingersignals.com/order.jsp (Quarterly and Annual categories offer the best savings, and of course, you have the protection of our satisfaction guarantee: a full refund in the first 30 days if you are not completely satisfied.)
Those of you who prudently moved to cash can now use the E-Zone System to find profitable re-entry points for those stocks you want to rebuild.
Caution is still advised; and unless you are trading, we suggest using the Entry Zones on the weekly charts.
We wish you much success in the turbulent days to come.
Hottinger Admin Team
PS// Ask your broker to provide the E-Zone charts for you on his website.
This program is available for him, and the arrangement could save you both time and money.
Just make your request and send him this address: http://www.hottingersignals.com/cobrand.jsp
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- September 29, 2007. . .4Horsemen
- Dear Fellow Investor,
Yes, the Fed surprised the market with a one-half point cut instead of the quarter-point most were expecting.
And, yes, the markets responded with optimistic vigor.
And, yes, the Volatility Index (VIX) has closed under 20 for the first time in many weeks.
However, history does have a way of repeating itself, and prudent investors pay it heed.
In just 7 weeks in 1998, mid-July to the end of August, the VIX rose from 16 to 43 while the Dow was dropping from 9,338 to 7,640.
Today we are seeing 100 and 200 point swings in the market, and while the VIX itself closed the month under 20, its 30 day exponential moving average (EMA) has climbed from under 15 to over 20 in the past 6 months.
And in the month just closed it nudged 25.
Why are we telling you this? We do not want you to get caught in a sudden down-draft, when the market drops drastically because everyone is rushing for the exit.
What could cause this to happen - - - didn't GM just settle with the Union?
Are there not smiles on all the talking heads?
There are four factors, like the 4 Horsemen of the Apocalypse, threatening the market today:
- Fed Policy.
This is not as predictable as it might first appear, and any surprises, perhaps to defend our shrinking dollar, could implode the market.
- Economic Data.
It has not all been good.
Housing is in the doldrums, and commentators are beginning to use the R word (a recession in the offing ? ).
- Corporate Reports.
Quarterly and Annual Reports will be more numerous in the months to come, and these will not all carry messages of joy.
GM, Ford, Chrysler continue to spill red ink, and not everything we need can be made in China.
- Political Events.
These are beyond our control, and the nightly news carries scenes of turmoil on all parts of the globe.
The U.N. continues to appear feckless in the face of perceived threats to global stability.
The Middle East is a perpetual potential volcano. And on and on.
For all these reasons, any one of which could create severe market turmoil, we urge you to take precautionary action.
Put some anchors to windward for your portfolio, contra funds like RYVNX, SDS, etc.
These will rise as the values of your other holdings fall.
If you have capital (NOT margin) to spare, and you want to average down on stocks that have fallen, then we suggest you use the E-Zone System to find your best entry points.
And by all means, you should continue to be aware of your daily Exit Zones.
Cautious investors will protect their portfolios by choosing a Gold membership tonight.
Blinking arrows and nightly e-mails will tell you which of your stocks and/or funds have moved into a new zone, and with this information you can take prompt action to protect yourself.
You can order here right now! (Quarterly and Annual categories offer the best savings).
When the inevitable correction comes, you will be glad you did.
And, of course, your membership cost is covered with a money-back guarantee: If for any reason you are not satisfied with the service, just tell us within 30 days, and we will refund your membership cost in full.
We wish you every success in the turbulent times ahead.
Sincerely,
HottingerSignals Admin Team
PS// Ask your broker to provide the E-Zone charts for you on his website.
The program is available for him, and this arrangement could save you both time and money.
Include this address in your request to him: http://www.hottingersignals.com/cobrand.jsp
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- September 7, 2007. . .RISK
- Dear Fellow Investor,
It is obvious from the swings we are seeing that the horizon does not appear promising or inviting.
Major players like the hedge funds and global investors are unwinding their debt holdings and also their currency-carry trades.
Mutual funds are beginning to move holdings to 'safety', wherever they perceive that to be (in most cases U.S. govt paper).
And the quant traders, those running massive computer-driven trades, are finding their programs no longer track as before, and are incurring major losses.
Thus, many factors are creating our recent market volatility, but the most important factor by far is 'risk' - - - how it is perceived, measured, balanced, hedged - - - and by whom.
The future is always uncertain, and uncertainty is parent to risk.
Just look ahead at the uncertainties we are face:
- A domestic political struggle, with the end not in sight until Nov, 2008.
- An unpopular war in Iraq, with outcome still unknown.
- Decades of unsettled Israeli / Arab tensions.
- Expansion of al Qaida networks inside the EU.
- Disappointing economic numbers being posted almost weekly.
- The Fed handcuffed. Massive foreign holdings limit its ability to lower interest rates.
Is it any wonder that the market is swinging 100 or 200 points in a day?
Weighing all these factors, it is very likely that history will repeat itself.
These 100 point swings are less than a 1% drop at today's market level.
But we should be mindful of the fact that when the Volatility Index (VIX) reaches and STAYS at a level above its norm, bad things can happen, as history has shown.
In Aug, 2000, the S&P 500 closed at 1517 with the VIX under 17.
In the months following, the VIX climbed into the 20's and even the 30's, and by Sept, 2002 the S&P 500 was at 815 - - - a loss of over 46% ! ! !
It took until May 18, 2007 to regain that loss, when the S&P 500 closed at 1522.
That was 25 months to recover from a market drop that the VIX had been forecasting.
This year, on July 26, the VIX entered the 20's.
It has bumped into the 30's a few times, and has yet to retreat back into safe territory of the teens.
So we urge you to take precautionary action.
Put some anchors to windward for your portfolio, contra funds like RYVNX, SDS, etc.
These will rise as the values of your other holdings fall.
If you have capital (NOT margin) to spare, and you want to average down on stocks that have fallen, then we suggest you use the E-Zone System to find your best entry points.
And by all means, you should continue to be aware of your daily Exit Zones.
Cautious investors will protect their portfolios by choosing a Gold membership tonight.
Blinking arrows and nightly e-mails will tell you which of your stocks and/or funds have moved into a new zone, and with this information you can take prompt action to protect yourself.
You can order here right now! (Quarterly and Annual categories offer the best savings).
When the inevitable correction comes, you will be glad you did.
And, of course, your membership cost is covered with a money-back guarantee: If for any reason you are not satisfied with the service, just tell us within 30 days, and we will refund your membership cost in full.
We wish you every success in the turbulent times ahead.
Sincerely,
HottingerSignals Admin Team
PS// Ask your broker to provide the E-Zone charts for you on his website.
The program is available for him, and this arrangement could save you both time and money.
Include this address in your request to him: http://www.hottingersignals.com/cobrand.jsp
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- August 28, 2007. . .Not Over Yet
- Dear Fellow Investor,
Normally these notes have been sent on Fridays, after the market closed for the week.
Tonight's note is more urgent: there is more pain to come.
This is a market downturn that has not yet reached bottom, and it will take longer to recover than many expect.
A bit of history, and it can repeat itself!
- Jan 10, 2000: Dow closed at 11,723, its high for the year.
- Sep 30, 2002: Dow bottoms at 7,528 - - - a drop of 36% from 1/10/2000.
- Oct 2, 2006: Dow finally regains to 11,850 - - - 6 yrs, 10 mo. to recover
- Aug 28,2007: Dow closes at 13,041 - - - a gain of 13% since Jan, 2000.
This gain, if measured from only Oct, 2006, would appear satisfactory.
But most of us have been investing for a much longer period of time.
In fact, it is a strong probability that the majority of today's investors had money in the market on Jan 10, 2000.
In that case, they achieved a hardly satisfactory annual gain of just 1.75% for their angst if they followed a buy & hold strategy (dividends excluded).
In addition to investors hearing "be patient, hold on, stay the course?" from talking heads on the tube, they are also seeing web pages filled with ads for "quick profits, triple your money, stocks that will explode, how to make millions."
We hope you will not be beguiled or lulled to sleep by these phrases.
Investing is a difficult task in any climate, but especially so in a time such as this, when the Volatility Index (VIX) is topping its 50 day average.
Be aware.
If you are not tracking all of your stocks with the E-Zone System, you are investing blindfolded.
You need to know the daily and the weekly Exit Zone and Entry Zone for each of your holdings, whether you are considering moving to cash, or averaging down on good holdings as the market falls.
Averaging down can be a good strategy if done with capital and not margin - - - but it is senseless to buy when the price is in the Exit Zone!
Our Guest Membership is free and will allow you to track 5 of your stocks or funds for 30 days. No credit card or personal information is required. Join tonight so you will have the information you need to protect your capital.
But with volatility as high as it is right now, you should really protect your entire portfolio with a Gold Membership. This will cover ALL your holdings, and also bring you nightly e-mails telling which of your stocks and/or funds have moved into a new zone. With this information you will be able to take prompt action to protect yourself.
You can order here right now! (Quarterly and Annual categories offer the best savings).
When the inevitable correction comes, you will be glad you did.
And, of course, your membership cost is covered with a money-back guarantee: If for any reason you are not satisfied with the service, just tell us within 30 days, and we will refund your membership cost in full.
We wish you peace, tranquility, safety in the days to come.
Sincerely,
HottingerSignals Admin Team
PS// Ask your broker to provide the E-Zone charts for you on his website.
The program is available for him, and this arrangement could save you both time and money.
Include this address in your request to him: http://www.hottingersignals.com/cobrand.jsp
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- August 24, 2007. . .Stock Shock
- NEW YORK ? Stocks extended their gut-wrenching slide on Monday and the Dow Jones industrial average posted its biggest one-day point loss ever as investors chose to ignore the Federal Reserve's surprise interest rate cut and focused instead on the risk of a global recession.
The Dow Jones industrial average lost 678.52 points, or 7.07 percent, to 8,921.18. It was its greatest point loss ever, beating out the 617.78 points lost on April 14, 2000.
The move occurred amid a frenzy of selling that helped the New York Stock Exchange rack up its heaviest volume day ever, with some 2.36 billion shares trading hands.
However, the loss did not even make the Top 10 biggest daily percentage drops, which is still headed by the 22.6 percent decline on Black Monday, when the stock market crashed on Oct. 19, 1987.
Investors are bracing for more stock declines, albeit not of Monday's magnitude.
Dear Fellow Investor,
The above was written Monday, September 17, 2001 and carried on Fox News.
(for complete article see: www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,34464,00.html)
We are not predicting this will occur again on Monday, August 27, 2007 - - - but we are suggesting that your portfolio should be ready to weather a downturn.
There are far too many warning signs to ignore:
- The Fed has again made a surprise interest rate cut, and is adding liquidity to the market;
- oil is near its all-time high;
- a continuing U.S. trade deficit and our reliance on others to keep holding our bonds and currency makes us vulnerable;
- the dollar is making new lows on the Forex markets, and at some point the Fed will have to support it by raising interest rates;
- the sub-prime mortgage market is still unwinding, and its effects are global;
- the housing market is still nowhere near a bottom;
- credit is tightening and consumer spending is slowing;
- in last 4 quarters there were 4,929 mass layoffs, affecting 921,681 workers. (www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/mslo.pdf)
With the experience of the dot.com bubble behind us, now we are in the midst of a bursting real estate bubble.
And a reckoning with the global debt bubble still awaits us: there is prox $1.4 trillion in the unregulated hedge funds market, and another $500 trillion in leveraged derivatives which will need to be addressed.
Weighing all these factors, it is very likely that history will repeat itself.
So we urge you to take precautionary action.
Put some anchors to windward for your portfolio, contra funds like RYVNX, SDS, etc. These will rise as the values of your other holdings fall.
If you have capital (NOT margin) to spare, and you want to average down on stocks that have fallen, then we suggest you use the E-Zone System to find your best entry points.
And by all means, you should continue to be aware of your daily Exit Zones.
With storm clouds brewing as they are, protect your entire portfolio by choosing a Gold membership tonight.
Nightly e-mails will tell you which of your stocks and/or funds have moved into a new zone, and with this information you can take prompt action to protect yourself.
You can order here right now! (Quarterly and Annual categories offer the best savings).
When the inevitable correction comes, you will be glad you did.
And, of course, your membership cost is covered with a money-back guarantee: If for any reason you are not satisfied with the service, just tell us within 30 days, and we will refund your membership cost in full.
We wish you every success in the turbulent times ahead.
Sincerely,
HottingerSignals Admin Team
PS// Ask your broker to provide the E-Zone charts for you on his website.
The program is available for him, and this arrangement could save you both time and money.
Include this address in your request to him: http://www.hottingersignals.com/cobrand.jsp
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- August 15, 2007. . .More Trouble Coming
- Dear Fellow Investor,
This series of cautionary notes began last May, when the Volatility Index (VIX) first began to edge upward.
Last week we sent another in our series of warnings as the VIX continued its climb above 20.
8/8/07___Today the VIX closed at 21.45 and it ranged between 19.33 and 22.95.
Its 52 week high of 26.47 was reached just 2 days ago.
We do not want to see you get caught in the next down-draft, which becomes more certain the higher the VIX climbs.
When that number moves above 20, it presages a market correction - - - and we have already seen what such volatility can do to an individual’s portfolio.
The last time the VIX closed above 20 was June 13, and on that day the Dow closed at 10,700 - - - down 1,000 points from where it had been 30 days earlier.
Today the closing VIX number was 30.67.
It has reached this level only twice in the past 5 years: Sept, ’02 and Feb, ’03.
In Sept, ’02 the Dow dropped 15% (8778 to7528) as the VIX peaked above 30.
We have only experienced an 8% drop in the Dow (13,907 to 12,861) so far this year.
A 15% drop would take us to an 11,125 reading.
Not all stocks and funds will drop at exactly the same time, or by the same amount - - - but all are now more at risk.
Wise investors will now consider what a drop of 10 per cent or more would do to their portfolios.
They will also calculate just how long it might take them to recover if they are committed to a "buy & hold" strategy.
We do not think "B & H" is the wisest course and counsel against it.
(for greater detail see: www.hottingersignals.com/whythis.jsp)
If you have not already begun to take defensive measures, we urge you to do so right now.
You need to know where and how to begin lightening up.
You can get a great start by using our E-Zone System to read the Exit Zones of your stocks and funds.
Our Guest Membership will allow you to track 5 stocks or funds for 30 days.
But with storm clouds brewing as they are, we urge you to protect your entire portfolio by choosing a Gold membership tonight. (Quarterly and Annual categories offer the best savings).
Order here: http://www.hottingersignals.com/order.jsp
Also, ask your broker to provide the E-Zone charts for you on his website.
This program is available for him, and this arrangement could save you both time and money.
Just make your request and send him this address: http://www.hottingersignals.com/cobrand.jsp
Wishing you every success in the turbulent times ahead,
The HottingerSignals Admin Team
-
- August 8, 2007. . .Talking Heads
- Dear Fellow Investor,
Well, the talking heads at CNBC are telling us how strong the market is, most of their enthusiasm based on the Dow’s recovery late this afternoon.
We urge you to take their words "cum grano salis" (with a grain of salt).
We began issuing warnings back in May, as the Volatility Index (VIX) began to climb above its neutral level.
When that number moves above 20, it presages a market correction - - - and we have already seen what such volatility can do to an individual’s portfolio.
The last time the VIX closed above 20 was June 13, and on that day the Dow closed at 10,700 - - - down 1,000 points from where it had been 30 days earlier.
Today the VIX closed at 21.45 and it ranged between 19.33 and 22.95.
Its 52 week high of 26.47 was reached just 2 days ago.
We do not want to see you get caught in the next down-draft, which becomes more certain the higher the VIX climbs.
Not all stocks and funds will drop at exactly the same time, or by the same amount - - - but all are now more at risk.
Wise investors will now consider what a drop of 10 per cent or more would do to their portfolios.
They will also calculate just how long it might take them to recover if they are committed to a "buy & hold" strategy.
We do not think "B & H" is the wisest course and counsel against it.
(for greater detail see: www.hottingersignals.com/whythis.jsp)
If you have not already begun to take defensive measures, we urge you to do so right now.
You need to know where and how to begin lightening up.
You can get a great start by using our E-Zone System to read the Exit Zones of your stocks and funds.
Our Guest Membership will allow you to track 5 stocks or funds for 30 days.
But with storm clouds brewing as they are, we urge you to protect your entire portfolio by choosing a Gold membership tonight. (Quarterly and Annual categories offer the best savings).
Order here: http://www.hottingersignals.com/order.jsp
Also, ask your broker to provide the E-Zone charts for you on his website.
This program is available for him, and this arrangement could save you both time and money.
Just make your request and send him this address: http://www.hottingersignals.com/cobrand.jsp
Wishing you every success in the turbulent times ahead,
The HottingerSignals Admin Team
-
- August 1, 2007. . .Up, but ???
- Dear Fellow Investor,
Yes, the Dow was up 150 points today (1.14%) and the S&P 500 went up 10 points (0.7%).
But the VIX (Volatility Index) also rose.
It hit an intra-day high of 24.51, and closed at 23.67, which is near the top of its 52 week range (9.39 to 26.22).
We began issuing these warnings back in May, urging caution because when the VIX reached these levels on previous occasions, a serious market correction soon followed.
Not all stocks and funds will drop at exactly the same time, or by the same amount - - - but all are now more at risk.
Wise investors will now consider what a drop of 10 per cent or more would do to their portfolios.
They will also calculate just how long it might take them to recover if they are committed to a "buy & hold" strategy.
We do not think "B & H" is the wisest course and counsel against it.
(for greater detail see: www.hottingersignals.com/whythis.jsp)
If you have not already begun to take defensive measures, we urge you to do so right now.
You need to know where and how to begin lightening up.
You can get a great start by using our E-Zone System to read the Exit Zones of your stocks and funds.
Our Guest Membership will allow you to track 5 stocks or funds for 30 days.
But with storm clouds brewing as they are, we urge you to protect your entire portfolio by choosing a Gold membership tonight. (Quarterly and Annual categories offer the best savings).
Order here: http://www.hottingersignals.com/order.jsp
Also, ask your broker to provide the E-Zone charts for you on his website.
This program is available for him, and this arrangement could save you both time and money.
Just make your request and send him this address: http://www.hottingersignals.com/cobrand.jsp
Wishing you every success in the turbulent times ahead,
The HottingerSignals Admin Team
-
- July 24, 2007. . .Risk Warning
- Dear Fellow Investor,
Just last week we wrote you, urging caution because the market was reaching a volatility number that has usually preceded a serious correction.
Not all stocks and funds will drop at exactly the same time, or by the same amount - - - but they are all now more at risk.
Quoting from last week’s cautionary letter:
More currently, on 2/23/07 the DOW closed at 12,647 with the VIX at 10.58.
By 3/5/07 the DOW had fallen to 12,050, and the VIX had risen to 19.63.
Another loss of almost 5%.
Tonight (July 17) we find the VIX at 16.00, nearing the top quartile of its 52 week range (9.39 – 21.25), while the DOW, NASDAQ, SP500 all dropped.
Conversely, the Euro, Br. Pound, Silver, Gold, Copper were all up, as were Gas and Nat. Gas - - - and Oil was over $75 bbl.
(Our dollar is obviously getting weaker.)
We hope you will read the message here: never mind those headline ads that say "stocks ready to soar!"
Tonight the Volatility Index (VIX) stands at 18.55, again well above its 50 day Moving Average of 15.36, and into the top quartile of its range.
While today’s drop in the Dow was just 1.62 in percentage terms, it measured 226 points and that took a large segment of the market down also.
Wise investors will now consider what another drop of 5 per cent or more could do to their portfolios.
And they will also calculate just how long it might take to recover from such a severe "buy & hold" loss.
If you have not already begun to take defensive measures, we urge you to do so right now.
You need to know where and how to begin lightening up.
You can get a great start by using our E-Zone System to read the Exit Zones of your stocks and funds.
Our Guest Membership will allow you to track 5 stocks or funds for 30 days.
But with storm clouds brewing as they are, we urge you to protect your entire portfolio by choosing a Gold membership tonight. (Quarterly and Annual categories offer the best savings).
Order here: http://www.hottingersignals.com/order.jsp
Also, ask your broker to provide the E-Zone charts for you on his website.
This program is available for him, and this arrangement could save you both time and money.
Just make your request and send him this address: http://www.hottingersignals.com/cobrand.jsp
Wishing you every success in the turbulent times ahead,
The HottingerSignals Admin Team
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- July 18, 2007. . .Risks Ahead
- Dear Fellow Investor,
So that you do not become a victim, we want to offer you some historical data tonight:
On Jan 10, 2000, the DOW stood at 11,723 and the VIX (Volatility Index) read 19.66.
Just 14 days later the VIX was at 26.14.
In April it hit 33.49.
In Sept. of that same year it reached 42.66.
And while the VIX was rising, the DOW was falling.
The DOW did not reach this 11,723 level again until October, 2006.
In short, it took almost 7 years to recover from that drop.
In between, there were smaller drops from recoveries that aborted.
At the close of March, 2002, the DOW stood at 10,404 and the VIX was at 17.40.
By the end of September the VIX was reading 39.69 and the DOW had dropped to 7,592.
That’s a loss of 27 per cent!
On 6/2/06 the DOW closed at 11,248 with the VIX at 14.32.
On 6/13/06 the DOW had dropped to 10,706 and the VIX stood at 23.81.
Loss on the DOW was almost 5%.
More currently, on 2/23/07 the DOW closed at 12,647 with the VIX at 10.58.
By 3/5/07 the DOW had fallen to 12,050, and the VIX had risen to 19.63.
Another loss of almost 5%.
Tonight we find the VIX at 16.00, nearing the top quartile of its 52 week range (9.39 – 21.25), while the DOW, NASDAQ, SP500 all dropped.
Conversely, the Euro, Br. Pound, Silver, Gold, Copper were all up, as were Gas and Nat. Gas - - - and Oil was over $75 bbl.
(Our dollar is obviously getting weaker.)
We hope you will read the message here: never mind those headline ads that say "stocks ready to soar!."
Instead, we urge you to begin putting an anchor to windward.
Consider adding a contra-performing stock like SDS to your portfolio, so when the next drop does come your capital will not be severely punished.
And, since not all stocks move in the same direction at the same time, we strongly suggest that you learn how and when to begin lightening up.
You can get a great start by using our E-Zone System to read the Exit Zones of your stocks and funds.
A Guest Membership will allow you to track 5 stocks or funds for 30 days.
But with storm clouds brewing, we urge you to protect your entire portfolio by choosing a Gold membership tonight. (Quarterly and Annual categories offer the best savings).
Order here: http://www.hottingersignals.com/order.jsp
You should also ask your broker to provide the E-Zone charts for you on his website.
This program is available for him, and the arrangement could save you both time and money.
Just make your request and send him this address: http://www.hottingersignals.com/cobrand.jsp
Wishing you every success in the turbulent times ahead,
The HottingerSignals Admin Team
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- July 17, 2007. . . New All-Time High
- Dear Fellow Investor,
With the market touching a new all-time high today, it is necessary to repeat some words of caution we sent out last month.
Tonight we offer you these warnings, written by authors with extensive market experience, who also see turbulence ahead.
If you are not tracking all of your stocks with the E-Zone system, you are investing blindfolded.
You need to know the daily and the weekly Exit Zone and Entry Zone for each of your holdings.
Sign up now for another Free Trial.
We urge you to do it tonight so you will have the information you need to protect your capital. http://www.hottingersignals.com/order.jsp.
No credit card or personal information is required.
Also, ask your broker about providing the E-Zone charts for you on his website.
The program is available for him, and this arrangement could save you both time and money.
We wish you every success in the turbulent times ahead, and urge you to read the comments below.
Forbes
The Motley Fool
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- May 10, 2007. . .Dow down 147 ???
- Dear Fellow Investor,
In the past 52 weeks the Dow has been as low as 10,600 - - - that is 80% of where we are tonight.
Can you afford to take a hit of 20%, or possibly even worse?
Last night’s alert cautioned that with the Dow now over 13,000, we should be prepared for an obvious correction.
Quoting from that letter:
- Trees do not grow to the sky, and markets do not climb a straight line.
- Earlier this year we saw a drop of 400 points; it took all of March and most of April to recover that loss.
- In mid-2001, the Dow was at 11,000. From there it dropped below 8,000.
- It did not see 11,000 again until January, 2006.
If you are not monitoring the exit zone for each of your holdings, you are trading with a blindfold on.
Get smart - - -take the blindfold off. Sign up now for a full E-Zone membership.
Track your entire portfolio at a glance with our blinking arrows.
Get our nightly E-mail alerts that tell you when one of your stocks has moved into or thru a new zone.
A Gold membership will bring you all of this, and is available in a monthly, quarterly, or annual installment.
(the latter 2 offer you considerable savings).
We will soon be releasing our next up-grade, at which time there is certain to be a price increase.
You can beat this increase and secure your membership permanently at today’s cost, so now is the time to act.
Sign up right now at: www.hottingersignals.com/order.jsp.
When the inevitable correction comes, you will be glad you did.
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- May 9, 2007. . .Uncharted Waters
- Dear Fellow Investor,
With the Dow now well over 13,000 we are in uncharted waters, and should be prepared for an obvious correction.
Trees do not grow to the sky, and markets do not climb a straight line.
Earlier this year we saw a drop of 400 points, and it took all of March and most of April to recover that loss.
In mid-2001, the Dow was at 11,000. From there it dropped below 8,000.
It did not see 11,000 again until January, 2006.
If you are not monitoring the exit zone for each of your holdings, you are trading with a blindfold on.
Get smart - - -take the blindfold off. Sign up now for a full E-Zone membership.
Track your entire portfolio at a glance with our blinking arrows.
Get our nightly E-mail alerts that tell you when one of your stocks has moved into or thru a new zone.
A Gold membership will bring you all of this, and is available in a monthly, quarterly, or annual installment.
(the latter 2 offer you considerable savings).
We will soon be releasing our next up-grade, at which time there is certain to be a price increase.
You can beat this increase and secure your membership permanently at today’s cost, so now is the time to act.
Sign up right now at: www.hottingersignals.com/order.jsp.
When the inevitable correction comes, you will be glad you did.
PS// Your membership cost is covered with a money-back guarantee: If for any reason you are not satisfied with the service, just tell us within 30 days, and we will refund your membership cost in full.
PPS// Ask your broker about providing these E-Zone charts on your own trading page.
The service is available to him, and could save you time and money.
Include this address in your email to him: www.hottingersignals.com/cobrand.jsp
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